The Effect of Political Instability on the Financial Performance of Property and Real Estate Sector Companies Listed on the PSEi Composite for the Period 2001–2024
Keywords:
Financial Performance, Return on Assets, Political Instability, Property Sector, PSEi Composite.Abstract
Political instability is one of the external factors that may affect the institutional environment and corporate financial performance, particularly in the property and real estate sector, which is highly dependent on regulatory certainty and government policies. This study aims to analyze the effect of political instability, proxied by general elections, political coups, political reforms, martial law, and political protests, on corporate financial performance, as measured by Return on Assets (ROA). This study employs a quantitative approach using secondary data obtained from corporate financial statements available in the Osiris database for the 2001–2024 period. The research sample was selected using a purposive sampling technique and consisted of 37 property and real estate companies listed on the PSEi Composite, resulting in a total of 888 observations. The data were analyzed using panel data regression with the assistance of STATA 17 software. Additional analyses were conducted on sub-samples of large and small companies based on firm size. The results indicate that general elections, political reforms, martial law, and political protests have no significant effect on corporate financial performance. However, political coups have a negative effect on corporate financial performance.References
Aassve, A., Capezzone, T., Cavalli, N., Conzo, P., & Peng, C. (2024). Social and political trust diverge during a crisis. Scientific Reports, 0123456789, 1 –12. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-50898-4
Abadie, A., & Gardeazabal, J. (2003). The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case Study of the Basque Country. American Economic Review, 93 (1), 113 –132. https://doi.org/10.1257/000282803321455188
Abdullah, M., Chowdhury, M. A. F., Karmaker, U., Fuszder, M. H. R., & Shahriar, M. A. (2022). Role of the dynamics of political stability in firm performance: Evidence from Bangladesh. Quantitative Finance and Economics, 6(4), 518–536. https://doi.org/10.3934/qfe.2022022
Afrizal, F., Oktavendi, T. W., & Irawan, D. (2025). Risk management committee and firm performance: The moderating effect of political connection. Journal of Accounting and Investment , 26(1), 58 –70. https://doi.org/10.18196/jai.v26i1.20082
Aisen, A., & Veiga, F. J. (2011). How Does Political Instability Affect Economic Growth? IMF Working Papers, 11(12), 1. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781455211906.001
Alim, W., Khan, N. U., Zhang, V. W., Cai, H. H., & Mikhaylov, A. (2024). Influence of political stability on the stock market returns and volatility : GARCH and EGARCH approach. Financial Innovation. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00658-8
Ansell, B. W., & Samuels, D. J. (2014). Inequality and Democratization. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511843686
Aquino, R. Q. (2006). Efficiency of the Philippine stock market. Applied Economics Letters, 13(7), 463–470. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504850500397437
Baderung, S. N., Polinggapo, S. R., & Moonti, R. M. (2025). Sengketa Pemilihan Umum dan Implikasinya terhadap Stabilitas Ketatanegaraan di Indonesia. Politika Progresif : Jurnal Hukum, Politik Dan Humaniora, 2(1), 44–52. https://doi.org/10.62383/progres.v2i1.1286
Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty*. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1593 –1636. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw024
Bao, H. X. H., & Cardoza, R. (2023). Political institutions and corporate risk‐taking : International evidence. International Review of Finance , 23(4), 777 –793. https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.12423
Beissinger, M. R. (2022). The Revolutionary City: Urbanization and the Global Transformation of Rebellion . PublisherPrinceton University Press.
Bekaert, G., Harvey, C. R., & Lundblad, C. (2007). Liquidity and Expected Returns: Lessons from Emerging Markets. Review of Financial Studies , 20(6), 1783 –1831. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhm030
Belkin, A., & Schofer, E. (2003). Toward a Structural Understanding of Coup Risk. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 47(5), 594–620. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002703258197
Bjørnskov, C., & Voigt, S. (2018). The architecture of emergency constitutions. International Journal of Constitutional Law, 16(1), 101–127. https://doi.org/10.1093/icon/moy012
Bjørnskov, C., & Voigt, S. (2022). Emergencies: on the misuse of government powers. Public Choice, 190(1–2), 1–32. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-021-00918-6
Borbáth, E. (2023). Differentiation in Protest Politics: Participation by Political Insiders and Outsiders. Political Behavior, 46(2), 727–750. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11109-022-09846-7
Brigham, E. F., & Houston, J. F. (2019). Fundamentals of Financial Management (15th ed.). Cengage.
Creswell, J. W., & Creswell, J. D. (2014). Research Design: Qualitative, Quantitative, and Mixed Methods Approaches. In SAGE Publication. https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctt2204s7w.11
Croissant, A., Kuehn, D., Chambers, P., & Wolf, S. O. (2010). Beyond the fallacy of coup-ism: conceptualizing civilian control of the military in emerging democracies. Democratization, 17 (5), 950 –975. https://doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2010.501180

